I was undecided untill a week or so ago but lately decided to vote to stay in. It is not what has been said by either the in or out crowd but simply this:
If we vote to leave we will never get back in under the same terms on the other hand if we vote to stay in and it does really turn pear shaped, parliment can always decide it is time to leave under article 50 of the Lisbon treaty.
I read this on another forum which for me reinforces the above.
1. Nobody can predict with even a smidgeon of accuracy what will be the
impact on the UK economy of a vote in either direction. The world is an
uncertain place, and there are too many individuals who can have a
significant impact on any given out-turn. E.g. Donald Trump, Xi
Jin-ping, David Cameron, Nicola Sturgeon, Angela Merkel, to name but a
very few. Therefore there are no economic arguments that will sway me
one way or the other.
2. Migration is not a real issue. If politicians are honest enough to
tell it like it is, the balance is pretty well even. It just has to be
managed properly, and it either will or won't be, whichever way we
vote. The EU has finally come around to the view that it has to be
managed, which was obviously from the beginning. (See today's
announcement of an agreement with Turkey).
3. Sovereignty has no bearing one way or the other. In the world as it
is today, it is largely an illusion - everybody being dependent on many
others for much of what happens to them. On the margin some issues
might be important, but only on the margin. The things people get
emotional about in arguing about sovereignty are mostly minor ones, e.g.
bent bananas, and, again, don't significantly affect eventual outcomes.
4. The undertakings Cameron received regarding the Eurozone (We'll
never join, and they won't gang up on non-members), no Schenghen for
UK, and "Never closer union for the UK", are about as good as he could
get, given we stay in, and ought to suffice, provided our future leaders
properly look out for us (which can't be guaranteed anyhow),
particularly as other EU members may well be prompted to seek the same
or similar opt-outs.
5. If one takes the helicopter up to 40,000 feet and looks down, UK
can't physically separate itself from Europe. In this day and age, a
22-mile-wide channel just isn't big enough! Freedom of movement is as
much a benefit for Brits. as for anyone else (if they stop to think
about it), as long as it is not Schenghen-ised. The issue is
management, i.e. government/governance, as ever. Given that, any
Europe-wide issue, crisis, disaster, whatever you will, will inevitably
drag UK in, whether we are in the EU or not, as it did at least twice
last century, and many times in the centuries before that, so we might
as well at least have a seat at the table, and help our neighbours sort
things out, hopefully before they get too bad.
6. The answer is to be too big to be ignored (like Germany), which is a
means of getting as much as possible that is advantageous to UK (which
is what all the others try to do for themselves), and to have a
government which will not be bullied. As usual, that particular aspect
is in our own hands. Active and vigorous participation is also a way of
putting a stop to some of the arrant nonsense that goes on, like not
getting the accounts signed off. There are many "sanctions" which can
be invoked from the inside, without having to leave in a huff.
The best journeys are not always in straight lines.
To read about our travels visit >this page< Latest updates 1st June 2018